Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.035290 0.040847 0.047006 0.054341 0.062841 0.072389 0.083934
2026-01-18 0.026994 0.034390 0.043409 0.055228 0.070331 0.089019 0.113952
2026-01-25 0.022274 0.030529 0.041358 0.056629 0.077664 0.105704 0.146066
2026-02-01 0.018090 0.026314 0.037761 0.054901 0.080006 0.115577 0.170078
2026-02-08 0.015407 0.023588 0.035573 0.054472 0.083660 0.127261 0.197786
2026-02-15 0.013318 0.021336 0.033629 0.053925 0.086788 0.138250 0.225619
2026-02-22 0.011951 0.019956 0.032745 0.054766 0.091996 0.152867 0.260907
2026-03-01 0.010612 0.018404 0.031336 0.054479 0.095193 0.164463 0.292556
2026-03-08 0.009290 0.016687 0.029403 0.052990 0.096045 0.172054 0.318082
2026-03-15 0.008172 0.015171 0.027604 0.051456 0.096533 0.178928 0.343028
2026-03-22 0.007561 0.014486 0.027185 0.052344 0.101506 0.194426 0.386021
2026-03-29 0.006950 0.013720 0.026511 0.052643 0.105349 0.208189 0.427359
2026-04-05 0.006371 0.012956 0.025775 0.052774 0.108979 0.222185 0.471542
2026-04-12 0.005920 0.012391 0.025361 0.053504 0.113927 0.239464 0.525061
2026-04-19 0.005575 0.012002 0.025248 0.054834 0.120281 0.260414 0.589383
2026-04-26 0.004993 0.011033 0.023817 0.053157 0.119911 0.266953 0.622510
2026-05-03 0.004585 0.010394 0.023010 0.052740 0.122268 0.279724 0.671650
2026-05-10 0.004212 0.009788 0.022201 0.052211 0.124285 0.291941 0.721134
2026-05-17 0.003975 0.009464 0.021984 0.053024 0.129545 0.312303 0.793264
2026-05-24 0.003685 0.008981 0.021345 0.052746 0.132127 0.326585 0.852134
2026-05-31 0.003351 0.008349 0.020284 0.051305 0.131637 0.333276 0.892350
2026-06-07 0.003048 0.007759 0.019257 0.049821 0.130846 0.339105 0.931103
2026-06-14 0.002902 0.007552 0.019148 0.050680 0.136268 0.361577 1.018349